Water level variations in the Neuse and Pamlico Estuaries,North Carolina due to local and remote forcing     

Robert E. Reed  David A. Dickey  JoAnn M. Burkholder  Carol A. Kinder  Cavell Brownie 《Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science》2008

Water level time series records from the Neuse and Pamlico River Estuaries were statistically compared to local and distant wind field data, water level records within the Pamlico Sound and also coastal ocean sites to determine the relative contribution of each time series to water levels in the Neuse and Pamlico Estuaries. The objectives of this study were to examine these time series data using various statistical methods (i.e. autoregressive, empirical orthogonal function analysis (EOF), exploratory data analysis (EDA)) to determine short- and long-time-scale variability, and to develop predictive statistical models that can be used to estimate past water level fluctuations in both the Neuse Estuary (NE) and Pamlico Estuary (PE). Short- and long-time-scale similarities were observed in all time series of estuarine, Pamlico Sound and subtidal coastal ocean water level and wind component data, due to events (nor'easters, fronts and tropical systems) and seasonality. Empirical orthogonal function analyses revealed a strong coastal ocean and wind field contribution to water level in the NE and PE. Approximately 95% of the variation was captured in the first two EOF components for water level data from the NE, sound and coastal ocean, and 70% for the PE, sound and coastal ocean. Spectral density plots revealed strong diurnal signals in both wind and water level data, and a strong cross correlation and coherency between the NE water level and the North/South wind component. There was good agreement between data and predictions using autoregressive statistical models for the NE (R² = 0.92) and PE (R² = 0.76). These methods also revealed significant autoregressive lags for the NE (days 1 and 3) and for the PE (days 1, 2 and 3). Significant departures from predictions are attributed to local meteorological and hydrological events. The autoregressive techniques showed significant predictive improvement over ordinary least squares methods. The results are considered within the context of providing long time-scale hindcast data for the two estuaries, and the importance of these data for multidisciplinary researchers and managers.  相似文献   

The halo mass function from the dark ages through the present day     

Darren S. Reed  Richard Bower  Carlos S. Frenk  Adrian Jenkins  Tom Theuns 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2007,374(1):2-15

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Effects of local meteorology and aerosols on ozone and nitrogen dioxide retrievals from OMI and pandora spectrometers in Maryland,USA during DISCOVER-AQ 2011     

Andra J. Reed  Anne M. Thompson  Debra E. Kollonige  Douglas K. Martins  Maria A. Tzortziou  Jay R. Herman  Timothy A. Berkoff  Nader K. Abuhassan  Alexander Cede 《Journal of Atmospheric Chemistry》2015,72(3-4):455-482

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Migrating magmatism in the northern US Cordillera: in situ U–Pb geochronology of the Idaho batholith     

Richard M. Gaschnig  Jeffrey D. Vervoort  Reed S. Lewis  William C. McClelland 《Contributions to Mineralogy and Petrology》2010,159(6):863-883

New in situ laser ablation-inductively coupled plasma-mass spectrometry and sensitive high-resolution ion microprobe U–Pb geochronology of zircons from the Idaho batholith and spatially overlapping Challis intrusions reveals a series of discrete magmatic belts of different ages and compositions. Following the accretion of the Blue Mountains province to North America along the Salmon River suture zone, two compositionally diverse belts of metaluminous plutons formed both adjacent to the suture and well inboard of it. These were constructed from ~100 to 85 Ma and were followed by a voluminous pulse of peraluminous magmatism, forming the bulk of the Atlanta lobe and largest fraction of the batholith between ~80 and 67 Ma. Around 70 Ma, a later and more spatially restricted suite of metaluminous plutons formed around the Bitterroot lobe of the batholith. This was followed by another pulse of voluminous peraluminous magmatism in the Bitterroot lobe, lasting from ~66 to 54 Ma. The changes from low volume metaluminous to high volume peraluminous magmatism may reflect a combination of changes in the angle and segmentation of the subducting Farallon plate and over thickening of the continental lithosphere. All of these features were then cut by plutons and dikes associated with the Challis volcanic field, lasting from ~51 to 43 Ma. Inherited components are pervasive in zircons from most phases of the batholith. While Precambrian components are very common, zircons also often contain cores or mantles that are 5–20 million years older than their rims. This suggests that the early phases of the batholith were repeatedly cannibalized by subsequent magmas. This also implies that the older suites may have been originally more aerially extensive than their currently exposed forms.  相似文献   

Evolution of the mass function of dark matter haloes     

Darren Reed  Jeffrey Gardner  Thomas Quinn  Joachim Stadel  Mark Fardal  George Lake  Fabio Governato 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2003,346(2):565-572

We use a high-resolution ΛCDM numerical simulation to calculate the mass function of dark matter haloes down to the scale of dwarf galaxies, back to a redshift of 15, in a  50 h ⁻¹ Mpc  volume containing 80 million particles. Our low-redshift results allow us to probe low-σ density fluctuations significantly beyond the range of previous cosmological simulations. The Sheth & Tormen mass function provides an excellent match to all of our data except for redshifts of 10 and higher, where it overpredicts halo numbers increasingly with redshift, reaching roughly 50 per cent for the  10¹⁰–10¹¹ M_⊙  haloes sampled at redshift 15. Our results confirm previous findings that the simulated halo mass function can be described solely by the variance of the mass distribution, and thus has no explicit redshift dependence. We provide an empirical fit to our data that corrects for the overprediction of extremely rare objects by the Sheth & Tormen mass function. This overprediction has implications for studies that use the number densities of similarly rare objects as cosmological probes. For example, the number density of high-redshift  ( z ≃ 6) QSOs  , which are thought to be hosted by haloes at 5σ peaks in the fluctuation field, are likely to be overpredicted by at least a factor of 50 per cent. We test the sensitivity of our results to force accuracy, starting redshift and halo-finding algorithm.  相似文献   

Ecosystem-based management institutional design: Balance between federal,state, and local governments within the Gulf of Mexico Alliance     

Cristina Carollo  Dave J. Reed 《Marine Policy》2010

We present a case study of the organizational framework of the Gulf of Mexico Alliance (GOMA), which was implemented to promote the use of ecosystem-based management (EBM) at a regional level. GOMA is a state-led initiative formed to protect and restore coastal and marine resources of the Gulf of Mexico. Representatives of the US Gulf States, together with their federal partners, clearly defined ecological, social, and economic short- and long-term objectives to be reached through regional collaborations. The aim of this paper is to show how GOMA, and particularly the Ecosystem Integration and Assessment Priority Issue Team, in its attempt to apply ecosystem approaches to manage marine resources, modified the common organizational scheme by implementing partnerships at various governmental (federal, state, local) and nongovernmental levels. We address the following major points considered to be of importance for EBM implementation: (1) multilevel cooperation, (2) stakeholders’ involvement, (3) sharing of information, (4) bridging science and policy, and (5) consensus-based decision making.  相似文献   

Variation and pattern in the responses of mammal faunas to Late Pleistocene climatic change in southeastern South Australia     

Amy C. Macken  Gavin J. Prideaux  Elizabeth H. Reed 《第四纪科学杂志》2012,27(4):415-424

We examined mammal occurrence and variability through the Late Pleistocene vertebrate fossil deposit of Grant Hall in Victoria Fossil Cave, Naracoorte, South Australia. To determine long‐term patterns of change, we compared the composition and relative abundance trends of the assemblage with a nearby Middle Pleistocene deposit in Cathedral Cave. Total species richness did not change through the Grant Hall sequence, dated from 93 ± 8 to 70 ± 5 ka. However, species relative abundances varied between ecologically divergent species, and in some cases between species that demonstrate similar environmental preferences. For some species this variation is comparable to that recorded in Cathedral Cave. Of those showing similar trends between the two deposits, the forest inhabitant, Pseudomys fumeus, recorded an 8.6% decline through Grant Hall, coincident with a 9.7% increase in the dry heath/mallee dweller Pseudomys apodemoides. These patterns indicate that climatic transition from relatively warm, moist to cooler, drier conditions impacted some species in similar ways through climatic cycles of the past. However, the majority of the fauna demonstrated complex responses that are individual and variable through time. Statistical tests of species trends from the Grant Hall assemblage caution that large fossil samples are required to validate patterns observed. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Discovery of the 'missing' mode in HR 1217 by the Whole Earth Telescope     

D. W.Kurtz  S. D.Kawaler  R. L.Riddle  M. D.Reed †  M. S.Cunha  M.Wood  N.Silvestri  T. K.Watson  N.Dolez  P.Moskalik  S.Zola  E.Pallier  J. A.Guzik  T. S.Metcalfe  A. S.Mukadam  R. E.Nather  D. E.Winget  D. J.Sullivan  T.Sullivan  K.Sekiguchi  X.Jiang  R.Shobbrook  B. N.Ashoka  S.Seetha  S.Joshi  D.O'Donoghue  G.Handler  M.Mueller  J. M.Gonzalez Perez  J.-E.Solheim  F.Johannessen  A.Ulla  S. O.Kepler  A.Kanaan  A.da Costa  L.Fraga  O.Giovannini  J. M.Matthews 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2002,330(3):57-61

HR 1217 is a prototypical rapidly oscillating Ap star that has presented a test to the theory of non-radial stellar pulsation. Prior observations showed a clear pattern of five modes with alternating frequency spacings of 33.3 and 34.6 μHz, with a sixth mode at a problematic spacing of 50.0 μHz (which equals  1.5×33.3 μHz)  to the high-frequency side. Asymptotic pulsation theory allowed for a frequency spacing of 34 μHz, but Hipparcos observations rule out such a spacing. Theoretical calculations of magnetoacoustic modes in Ap stars by Cunha predicted that there should be a previously undetected mode 34 μHz higher than the main group, with a smaller spacing between it and the highest one. In this Letter, we present preliminary results from a multisite photometric campaign on the rapidly oscillating Ap star HR 1217 using the 'Whole Earth Telescope'. While a complete analysis of the data will appear in a later paper, one outstanding result from this run is the discovery of a newly detected frequency in the pulsation spectrum of this star, at the frequency predicted by Cunha.  相似文献   

The observed and predicted spatial distribution of Milky Way satellite galaxies     

B. Willman  F. Governato †  J. J. Dalcanton ‡  D. Reed  T. Quinn 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2004,353(2):639-646

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An investigation of numerical errors in the analysis of consolidation by finite elements     

M. B. Reed 《国际地质力学数值与分析法杂志》1984,8(3):243-257

A smoothing technique is developed to remove the oscillatory errors in initial nodal pore pressures, associated with the use of quadratic isoparametric elements to model soil consolidation. Numerical results using this technique are compared with the performance of other types of element in problems of one-and two-dimensional consolidation.  相似文献